Bitcoin

The reason behind the Bitcoin crash that happened this week

The reinforced US dollar and the technical concerns at major crypto exchange Coinbase might be somewhat due to the Bitcoin (BTC) crash seen last Monday, according to analysts.


There’s a story behind every crash of the world’s number one crypto, and many become set to find who and what is to blame. Some consider that one of the factors behind the price drop to c. USD 30,700 per bitcoin could be the USD.

If “we’re really looking for a more cause-and-effect driver to explain [Monday’s] pullback, other than the obvious “what goes up must come down” element, it would be [Monday’s] uncanny apparent correlation to the US dollar, which bounced hard off her own lows [on Monday],” Mati Greenspan, founder of Quantum Economicsaddressed in his newsletter yesterday, adding that stocks and commodities are also softening on the greenback’s strength.

Greenspan moreover added that there is nobody who could “say exactly where it will turn around, or when the pain will end,” but to him, this price action appeared “oddly reminiscent of the early 2017 bull market pullbacks.”

Meantime, Vijay Ayyar, Head of Business Development with crypto exchange Luno, was cited by Bloomberg as saying that if the US dollar index “powers through” the level of 92 (currently sitting at nearly 90.5), “then we may have seen a bitcoin top at [USD] 40,000.”

At the same time, others are designating another possible cause behind the crash, and one criticized before. Crypto researcher and analyst Willy Woo tweeted that spot market sell-off started around USD 38,000, “then Coinbase partially failed, not registering buys, causing its price to go [USD] 350 lower than others, this pulled down the index price that futures exchanges use to calculate leverage funding, wreaking bearish havoc on speculative markets.”

He further clarified whether futures exchanges should have “removed Coinbase from their index during the incident to firewall the situation.”

Alistair Milne, Chief Investment Officer at the Altana Digital Currency Fundstated that Coinbase traded “at least 1000 lower” than its rivals Bitfinex and Binance.

Which market?

CNN Business argued that bitcoin is now in a bear market, but Naeem Aslam, the chief market analyst at AvaTrade, was cited as saying that “the bull run is not over yet, and it is still likely to make its journey to the upside.” Meanwhile, MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor tweeted that the events of the day confirm that BTC “will probably not go up at the rate of 1500% per year for more than a month at a time.”

Besides, some have pointed out that bitcoin has seen more extensive corrections before at times of massive gains.

Additionally, as twitted by on-chain analysis firm Glassnode, as on-chain fundamentals remained strong despite the value dip, pointing to a healthy network, that dip “caused a clear bounce off the bear/bull threshold on the Bitcoin dormancy flow chart.”

“Active addresses for both BTC and ETH are also both near all-time highs,” researchers at Coin Metrics noted today, adding that this increase signals that on-chain activity is increasing.

Also, they stressed that the amount of addresses holding at least BTC 1,000 has increased significantly since the start of 2021, which is “potentially further evidence that institutions are here to stay.”

Finally, as is always the case, there are rumors of a possible ‘whale’ influence, as well as talks of conspiracies and manipulations – as well as comments criticizing the inevitable resurgence of these discussions.


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