Earlier this week, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) soared beyond $61,000, gaining more market supremacy at the same time. While questions around its volatile price and the possibility to hedge inflation remain, specialists like French economist Marion Laboure gathered that Bitcoin is now “too important to ignore.
Other than BTC’s trillion-dollar market cap, its “scope for a continued rise in prices,” play critical roles in its growth.
Even central banks and governments understand that “Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are here to stay,” Laboure argued. She stated governments would “start regulating” crypto-assets “late this year or early next year.”
The economist proposed Bitcoin fell short in some areas; she said that when it came to “transactions and tradability,” the crypto is “still limited.” More importantly, the researcher raised the question:
The analyst secured the narrative to the ‘Tinkerbell Effect’ — an economic term based on Peter Pan stating how more people believe in something, the likelier it is to happen. She said that Bitcoin’s price would continue to rise and fall “depending on what people believe it is worth.”
Bitcoin should continue to rise.
Laboure’s microeconomic analysis found that hedge funds and institutional investors were an essential factor driving increased demand for the asset, and thus Bitcoin “should continue to rise.” She pointed out that predictions of Bitcoin’s death have been decreasing; 2020 alone saw the “fewest Bitcoin obituary predictions in eight years.”
Another definite indicator was the adoption rates of blockchain wallets which are “equivalent for that of the Internet. If this trend continues, there could be “200 million” blockchain wallet users in a decade.
Why Bitcoin has an ‘ultra-volatile’ price
While Bitcoin may be the world’s biggest cryptocurrency, it is primarily used as a financial investment, and under 30% of Bitcoin-related transactional activity is for payments. As an investment asset, the crypto’s liquidity remains low. The asset’s liquidity is said to be much closer to the Thai baht.
To add to this “limited tradability,” Laboure expected Bitcoin to remain ultra-volatile. She cautioned that a few additional whale purchases or exits could “significantly impact the supply-demand equilibrium” and further wrote:
The researcher predicted that future generations “may usher in mass adoption.” For instance, a Deutsche Bank survey found that among millennials, cryptocurrencies are increasingly replacing cash and bank cards, as shown in the image below:
In conclusion, the economist predicted that in the long run, “there will likely be little room” for using crypto as a “widespread means of payment,” especially when central banks may not give up their “monopolies.”
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